Too much of our politics is dominated by the discussion of class – working-class, middle-class, upper-class and so on. These terms mean almost nothing – is the multi-millionaire builder working-class? How is all this defined? So my apologies for writing about the psephology of class in response to a rather poor article by some chap called Richard Seymour:
The relentless, long-term narrowing of the Tory base since the 60s – as it has become more explicitly the vehicle of financial and monopoly capital, and less willing to articulate popular working-class concerns – has seen Tory support recede from working-class areas.
Arrant nonsense – support for the Conservatives among C2DE social classes has risen since that time not fallen. Here are the facts for C2 voters from Ipsos MORI:
| Oct 1974 | 1979 | 1983 | 1987 | 1992 | 1997 | 2001 | 2005 | 2010 |
Con | 26 | 41 | 40 | 40 | 39 | 27 | 29 | 33 | 37 |
Lab | 49 | 41 | 32 | 36 | 40 | 50 | 49 | 40 | 29 |
And for DE voters:
| Oct 1974 | 1979 | 1983 | 1987 | 1992 | 1997 | 2001 | 2005 | 2010 |
Con | 22 | 34 | 33 | 30 | 31 | 21 | 24 | 25 | 31 |
Lab | 57 | 49 | 41 | 48 | 49 | 59 | 55 | 48 | 40 |
The truth is that the Conservative Party’s problem is with AB voters not working-class voters – the reason for the Party’s failure to win overall last year lay in getting just 39% of AB votes not in getting the votes of the working class English.
But that truth wouldn’t suit the Guardian, would it! The biggest demographic shifts in British politics have been the shifts of the skilled working class from Labour to Conservative and the loss of Tory AB votes to the Liberal Democrats.
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