Cullingworth nestles in Yorkshire's wonderful South Pennines and I have the pleasure and delight to be the village's Conservative Councillor. But these are my views - on politics, food, beer and the stupidity of those who want to tell me what to think or do. And a little on mushrooms.
Showing posts with label Northern Powerhouse. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Northern Powerhouse. Show all posts
Sunday, 5 June 2016
A Northern Powerhouse needs collaboration, vision and planning more than it needs cash.
During a brief visit to London, we called in to the New London Architecture exhibition at The Building Centre - it's just round the corner from the British Museum and well worth an hour of your time not least for the splendid model of central London at the heart of the exhibition. The NLA uses this magnificent visual to present a vision of the new London emerging through investment, initiative and development and is accompanied by a series of short films featuring NLA's urbane chairman, Peter Murray, talking through the challenges - homes, transport, place-making, environment - and setting out what's already happening and how built environment professionals including architects, masterplanners, designers, engineers and builders can deliver a better city.
What comes across in these films is the scale of engagement between public and private sectors - the projects highlighted on the grand model or featured on the wall around the space are mostly private sector projects. For sure there are the great transport schemes sponsored by London's government and supported by national governments but we also see investment in public realm, privately or in partnership with boroughs, by the great estates - Cadogan, Bedford, Grosvenor and the Crown - that enhance the City's character and variety.
Above all there is both a sense of vision - one shared by mayor, boroughs, transport chiefs and developers - and an intense granularity to that vision. We're so familiar with vision being just that - grand sweeping words accompanied with carefully touched up pictures. But this London vision comes with hundreds of individual projects, with emerging plans across the 32 boroughs (all pictured on the walls around the huge model), with examples of individual masterplans for smaller places and with specific project plans ranging from hospitals and university facilities through housing schemes to pocket parks or street markets.
While enjoying the scale, scope and ambition of this NLA exhibition, a profound depression fell on me. We ask about the North-South divide and tend to couch our understanding of this gap in historical terms as being about what was not what will be. Yet this model and exhibition, tucked away in a corner of central London, gives the lie to this convenient belief. The North-South divide - or rather the contrast between the dynamism of London and the sluggishness of Northern cities - isn't about some past event but is about the here and now, about what London is doing today. Worse still, what an hour with the NLA model told me, the divide is fast becoming a unbridgeable chasm - what London is planning far outstrips anywhere else in the UK.
London is sprinting away from the North. Not, as too many want to believe, because the city has been favoured by successive government or because the current occupants of Downing Street are stripping the North of 'resources'. The NLA films, the projects described, the masterplans - none of these even mentioned central government funding or support. Yet, as we saw recently in the IPPR North and Centre for Cities reports on the Northern Powerhouse, the starting point for the debate about growth in the North is to argue for more central government resources. But why, other than sympathy, should government simply hand over cash to one or other Northern city? Having Andy Burnham shout about a mythical "One Billion Pound Black Hole" is great campaigning - plays to the sense of abandonment felt in some places 'up north' but it's just the politics of the begging bowl, of holding out the flat cap while intoning the old mantra, "got a bit of spare change mate?"
Back in 2005 architect and urbanist Will Alsop was commissioned to look at the development of the M62 Corridor, that strip of England from Liverpool to Hull. Although the result was a typically Alsop mish-mash of ideas (and giant teddy bears) the premise was a good one - we could have a linear city 80 miles long from coast to coast. Let's remember it's 50 miles from Heathrow to Tilbury and the government has commissioned a Thames Estuary study to look at bringing North Kent and South Essex - from Canterbury and Southend - into London's planning purview. A connected 'city' from the Wirral to Bridlington isn't all that far-fetched.
Yet the current position - Transport for the North aside - is that the government, through its devolution programmes, is simply creating the basis for future competition and resentment. I was sat at a meeting recently where person after person started what they said with smilingly snarky comments about Manchester and how the Northern Powerhouse was, in truth a Manchester Powerhouse. This chimes with Mick McCann's brilliant essay asking why the BBC hates Leeds - a reminder that those Northern divisions are as much of a barrier to our progress as core features of our cultures.
Next year Manchester and Sheffield (or rather Greater Manchester and South Yorkshire) will elect a mayor, a new shining leader who will drive forward the future development of those cities. Other places will be waiting a while longer (probably until the little devils are skating on the ice in the case of West and North Yorkshire) but the message is that we will have a set of competing places across the North - Liverpool. Manchester, Leeds, Sheffield, Newcastle. And those mayors will fill the early morning London trains with their cohorts - off to that London where they'll make the case for central government to spend more resources in Liverpool, Manchester, Leeds, Sheffield or Newcastle. Not in The North - there won't be any sense of Northern Vision, no real Northern Powerhouse.
If we want a Northern Powerhouse, and I think we do, then it has to be pictured, planned, consulted on, organised and - so far as we can - funded from The North. And it's no good unless the whole resource - men and money - of England's North Country is brought to bear on that vision. We've seen this can be done for transport, we need to stretch that to the whole vision of a future economy.
A couple of days ago the Royal Institute of British Architects announced a new national centre for architecture in Liverpool. Great news for that city. Perhaps what we now need is a New Northern Architecture with the initiative and vision to build a model like the one I saw in Store Street yesterday - a model showing how private and public, local government, universities, manufacturers and housebuilders can share a detailed idea of how a future North of England will develop, will look and will work.
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Tuesday, 5 April 2016
'Growth for The North' - taking local ownership of the Northern Powerhouse
At a recent LGA meeting we heard from Lord Adonis, chairman of the National Infrastructure Commission and former transport minister. It was interesting, not just from the insight he gave into the work published on Crossrail Two, Northern transport connectivity and energy connections but for the context he have for decision-making. It is that context that is relevent to any discussion about the 'Northern Powerhouse'.
Much of the debate around the Northern Powerhouse is characterised by either negativity (witty statements like 'Northern Poorhouse' or 'Northern Powersham', for example) or else by an emphasis on devolution to 'metro-mayors' in the 'core cities'. It seems to me that this misses the point and worse reinforces two unwanted images of The North - as supplicants arriving cap in hand at national government's doors asking for more, and as a bunch of rivalrous, squabbling places unable to get their act together on priorities for economic growth. I would add that the capture of the agenda in some of those cities - Manchester especially - by the idea of 'inclusive growth' drags The North still further away from the place it needs to be to deliver on a Northern Powerhouse.
Lord Adonis made the observation that Crossrail Two got the green light for two reasons - the planning, costing and economic impact work was undertaken and sound, and Transport for London (TfL) as well as the London Mayor were committed to provide 50% of the scheme's funding. The result is that a £16 billion scheme will actually cost central government less than half that amount releasing the economic benefits (that show up in GDP figures and growth) to the whole nation. This is the sort of deal any national government wants to see - regardless of politics.
Right now there is not only no agreement or consensus in The North about infrastructure investment priorities but there is no mechanism for business in The North to do what's happening in London and fund 50% of that investment. There are any number of schemes and projects - ranging from the lunatic (a trans-Pennine tunnel under the High Peak) through to the sensible (reducing rail travel times east to west). And although Transport for the North has made a start with sifting these options and alternatives, it has made only a little progress and it isn't clear how its governance or administration functions. Crucially there is no means for The North to capture business contribution (for example via a business rates supplement) as national government is reserving this supplement for those places who take George Osborne's shilling off the drum and accept a 'metro-mayor'.
If, to use an eminently sensible idea, Transport for the North were to propose a new motorway linking the M56 to the A1(M) North of Bradford and Leeds, the expectation is that central government - through its agencies - would stump up all the cash. And the same would go for HS3, widening the A64, a rail link to Leed-Bradford International Airport and an upgraded Pennine crossing from Newcastle to the M6. We have to find a mechanism for local contribution and pooling that potential business rate supplement should be the best approach - assuming national government can set aside its obsession with Heseltine's rewarmed core city focus and the idea of 'metro-mayors'.
The essential requirement if we are to deliver the infrastructure elements of a Northern Powerhouse is cooperation between Merseyside, Manchester, Leeds-Bradford, Teeside and Tyneside (and the rest of The North) rather than the creation of competing entities based on travel-to-work geography in regional cities. This isn't to reject city devolution or even the idea of mayors but rather is to say that a Northern Powerhouse is best served by a bigger vision encompassing the whole of The North rather than a set of visions focused on the challenges of city government.
We're talking here about infrastructure - indeed specifically transport infrastructure - but there are other areas where The North needs to collaborate rather than compete - our education system underperforms compared to London and the South East, our urban mass transit (where it exists at all) is limited and not focused on economic growth, our cultural sectors lack bite, arts funding is London-centred, and we still experience a steady trickle of the bright and best to elsewhere in the world.
The problem, however, is compounded by the approach of city leaders and Northern Labour politicians to the problem - the Northern Powerhouse may not be a reality as yet but it's only going to become one if you get behind the idea and make it work. Simply shouting a lot about The North's problems and blaming all of this on central government isn't especially conducive to getting any commitment - let alone momentum - behind the idea of working together with that government to improve The North's economic performance. If the only approach is to stick a begging bowl under the treasury's nose and say 'fill it up please' then we will never have the growing, self-reliant and powerful North of England that surely everyone up here wants.
It is possible for leaders in The North to make this work but we won't get there if all our time is spent waiting for someone else to jump, fussing about how too much of it is about Manchester (or Leeds, or Newcastle), or making sad noises about how badly done to we all are. The work of Transport for the North, albeit quite tentative, suggests that wider collaboration on a similar basis around the whole economy not just transport is far more important than the geography of a 'combined authority' in Yorkshire or the list of 'asks' in a city devolution scheme. We need to take the idea of Transport for the North - cooperation, collaboration - and create something like 'Growth for the North' that's prepared to fund the feasibility and prepare the ground for more central government investment in The North alongside similar investment in growth from The North's businesses and residents.
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Tuesday, 27 October 2015
Want a Northern Powerhouse? Then don't ignore success!
****
The think tank IPPR North has issued a report rather grandly entitled 'State of the North; Four tests for the Northern Powerhouse'. And, like many people writing about regional economics and economic development, IPPR North assumes that the solution rests with some sort of governmental activism:
It all sounds good doesn't it? But IPPR North isn't specific about which 'economic powers' need devolving. We are presented with a barrage of graphs, a narrative heavy on statistics but no help as to what needs to be handed over to cities or regions. In talking about 'economic powers' is IPPR North won't be referring to trade policy, monetary policy or the tax treatment of companies. Perhaps IPPR North are thinking about planning rules - you know being able to put an end to the NIMBYism delaying the economic benefits or fracking in Lancashire and North Yorkshire. Or maybe it's taking over central government investment in science and technology - even when the evidence for that helping economic growth is pretty mixed.
So having asked for devolved 'economic powers' without specifying which powers we're talking about, IPPR North then go on to talk about education and skills. Again we get an avalanche of graphs and statistics showing that gap between the North and the South. But again, amidst calls for 'policy' to change, IPPR North gives no hints as to what should change except to point at better performance in London from early years through to higher skills.
Yet in amongst all this IPPR North repeatedly reject what they call the 'London Model' (although they don't actually describe this model). This does, if it's evidence-based policy-making we're after, seem a little counter-intuitive. After all the entire 'State of the North' report is given over to describing the scale of the gap between us in northern England and the more economically successful South. And the reason for that southern success is pretty simple - London. What IPPR North are saying is 'look there's a really successful place there, we need to be as successful as them but we're not going to do what they did to be successful':
The suggestion here is that London focused on 'economic growth in isolation' - again without describing what this might actually mean - and that there is, somewhere, a different model for economic success. Sadly, IPPR North don't introduce us to the things that might be included in this magical economic development model other than that it involves city mayors to 'run' it alongside a sort of corporate hi-jack by business interests.
If we want that Northern Powerhouse, want to meet the economic aspirations of people in the north then we need to focus on economic growth. Firstly because that economic growth will lead to new employment. Then because when everyone who wants a job has a job, wages will rise. And then, because there is still demand for labour, people will move to the north. With the result that the consumer economy is bigger and can sustain the high added-value tertiary services that make the big difference in London and other successful cities. None of this - bar infrastructure investment - really needs government. Indeed there's a pretty strong case that the size of government in the north is part of the problem not part of the solution.
....
The think tank IPPR North has issued a report rather grandly entitled 'State of the North; Four tests for the Northern Powerhouse'. And, like many people writing about regional economics and economic development, IPPR North assumes that the solution rests with some sort of governmental activism:
If the northern powerhouse is to be successful, economic powers must be devolved to allow northern businesses and policymakers to develop an economic model that supports more productive, resilient and sustainable growth: jobs that pay well, prosperity that is shared, and opportunities for all. This does not mean simply adopting the ‘London model’ in northern cities, which would be unlikely to build the prosperity that the North needs – and indeed would be likely to lead to widening inequalities. Instead, it means finding a more equitable balance between productivity, employment rates and wages. Evidence suggests that raising productivity and employment simultaneously can be challenging, and that in most situations the two are antagonistic.
It all sounds good doesn't it? But IPPR North isn't specific about which 'economic powers' need devolving. We are presented with a barrage of graphs, a narrative heavy on statistics but no help as to what needs to be handed over to cities or regions. In talking about 'economic powers' is IPPR North won't be referring to trade policy, monetary policy or the tax treatment of companies. Perhaps IPPR North are thinking about planning rules - you know being able to put an end to the NIMBYism delaying the economic benefits or fracking in Lancashire and North Yorkshire. Or maybe it's taking over central government investment in science and technology - even when the evidence for that helping economic growth is pretty mixed.
So having asked for devolved 'economic powers' without specifying which powers we're talking about, IPPR North then go on to talk about education and skills. Again we get an avalanche of graphs and statistics showing that gap between the North and the South. But again, amidst calls for 'policy' to change, IPPR North gives no hints as to what should change except to point at better performance in London from early years through to higher skills.
Yet in amongst all this IPPR North repeatedly reject what they call the 'London Model' (although they don't actually describe this model). This does, if it's evidence-based policy-making we're after, seem a little counter-intuitive. After all the entire 'State of the North' report is given over to describing the scale of the gap between us in northern England and the more economically successful South. And the reason for that southern success is pretty simple - London. What IPPR North are saying is 'look there's a really successful place there, we need to be as successful as them but we're not going to do what they did to be successful':
The North’s economy clearly does need to grow in order to generate the wealth and jobs that its citizens need. However, focusing on economic growth in isolation, or in any way adopting the ‘London model’ in northern cities, is unlikely to lead to the kind of inclusive and sustainable prosperity that the North should aim for.
The suggestion here is that London focused on 'economic growth in isolation' - again without describing what this might actually mean - and that there is, somewhere, a different model for economic success. Sadly, IPPR North don't introduce us to the things that might be included in this magical economic development model other than that it involves city mayors to 'run' it alongside a sort of corporate hi-jack by business interests.
If we want that Northern Powerhouse, want to meet the economic aspirations of people in the north then we need to focus on economic growth. Firstly because that economic growth will lead to new employment. Then because when everyone who wants a job has a job, wages will rise. And then, because there is still demand for labour, people will move to the north. With the result that the consumer economy is bigger and can sustain the high added-value tertiary services that make the big difference in London and other successful cities. None of this - bar infrastructure investment - really needs government. Indeed there's a pretty strong case that the size of government in the north is part of the problem not part of the solution.
....
Wednesday, 26 August 2015
Driverless vehicles make railways (and our fast cars) obsolete
Every time such things as the "Northern Powerhouse" are mentioned the punditry, politicians and media immediately start agitating for billions to be invested in railways. This is despite the fact that railways account for only 3% of journeys in the UK while over 80% of journeys take place on roads. I've always suspected this is something of a 'boys' toys' response - we were brought up with train sets, Thomas the Tank Engine and Ivor. We like railways.
Consider this then:
"By combining ride sharing with car sharing—particularly in a city such as New York—MIT research has shown that it would be possible to take every passenger to his or her destination at the time they need to be there, with 80 percent fewer cars."
Or:
"An OECD study modelling the use of self-driving cars in Lisbon found that shared “taxibots” could reduce the number of cars needed by 80-90%. Similarly, research by Dan Fagnant of the University of Utah, drawing on traffic data for Austin, Texas, found that an autonomous taxi with dynamic ride-sharing could replace ten private vehicles. This is consistent with the finding that one extra car in a car-sharing service typically takes 9-13 cars off the road. Self-driving vehicles could, in short, reduce urban vehicle numbers by as much as 90%."
No new trains, no trams, no trolley buses, no bus lanes - just the realisation that automated cars ('driverless' as we call them) represent the real future of mass transportation. Not only will this, combined with emissionless or very low emission engines, reduce the negative environmental impact of road transport but we'll also see a dramatic drop in road casualties.
The reality is that investment on rail transport is not going to achieve payback ahead of the driverless car revolution - those billions now promised in new rolling stock, new stations and new lines are not needed. Cities need to be investing in the infrastructure required for driverless cars and to start planning for a city that doesn't need large parts of its land set aside to parking cars. This could mean more urban green space, the release of urban centre land for new housing and increased capacity on existing highways.
A world where we don't drive other than in controlled environments like race tracks seems strange in a culture seemingly dominated by the car but this is the likeliest result of driverless vehicles. For most of us the car (however much we drool over Ferrari and Aston Martin) is a practical and prosaic thing used to get us about the place. A very expensive practical and prosaic thing too. A world with vastly fewer road accidents, where we have no need to own a large lump of metal and plastic that sits doing nothing most of the time, and where the air is cleaner and the city greener - this is the world we should prepare for now.
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